August 27, 2008
one of my "best" trades
- entering against the trend ( shorted in uptrend)
- doubling up my position while having the wrong position in the market
- trading while being very tired
- no initial stop loss established
- no risk / reward calculated previously
- impulse trading
- daytrading
August 23, 2008
trading log
Trade analysis
- Date - pretty clear
- Time - hh/mm/ss of execution
- Symbol - the code of the traded symbol.
- Type - market, limit , stop limit, GTC, etc.
- SL Type - stop loss type of order : mental, technical, percent risk, etc.
- Risk - the value at risk
- TP Type - take profit type : trailing stop, pivots, etc.
- Reward - expected reward
Trader analysis
- mental and physical health
Other:
August 21, 2008
closing a BIG MOVE on forex ( EURUSD)
Here is the entry. As you can see the expected risk/reward ratio was 1:3. The actual risk / reward is 1:7.21 due to my "late" exit at 1.4786 meaning a 110.13$/ lot.
Daily view:
1 hour chart:
5 min chart:
August 19, 2008
my first S&P move
August 18, 2008
intraday dow jones
August 17, 2008
Judgmental vs. non-judgmental trading systems
Oh God, another question for me. I just can take this anymore ! Trading is indeed the hardest job one can do. I should have tried to become a rockstar.
So, here we go: Am I a judgmental or a non-judgmental trader ? I'll try to answer this question over the next few weeks, but first of all:
Q: What is judgmental trading ?
A: "Judgmental approaches call upon the trader to make decisions within a given criteria or context, while non-judgmental systems are strictly mechanical."
Here are some advantages / disadvatages ( taken from Joe Dinapoli's book - Trading with Dinapoli levels)
Miths about non-judgmental trading :
- Once you have developed your system, your research and your work is over. Stress is non-existemt since the decision-making process is out of your hands
- You don't have to monitor the markets anymore.
- The system can generate an adequate income flow which will enable you to go to Fiji :)
The reality :
- The work never ends. Your system will exceed the historical extremes ( discovered by back-testing) and you start "massaging" the parameters. In fact, you should have 2, 3 or maybe more systems. Then, regarding the stress: you will feel it when your system will dictate absurd orders.
- Your system will start missing some big moves
- It's hard to get enough capital to fund four systems over a number of futures contracts.
Miths about judgmental trading:
- You achieve a 90% win ratio
- You live where you want, trade where you want
- You turn a modest amount of money into a veritable mountain of pure finacial muscle.
The reality:
- You learn from a pro, then from another, and although you find some real benefit here and there, you're just never able to achiever quite what you expected.
- If you can't find a way to get profitable, your savings will be gone and you start wondering if you will become someone else's employee.
- You will be constantly focusing on the markets. You'll never get to Fiji, actually you'll start wondering " Is there a contract on Fiji ?"
The seven habits of successful trader by Mark Crisp
- Take complete responsability, that is , don't try to blame anybody else for the mistakes you do.
- Have a system that fits you. In order to define a system that fits your personality ask yourself the following questions:
- What annual rate of return do I want ?
- do I want to trade full time, part time ?
- Can I handle the stress of day trading and short term selling ?
- Do I have the patience for long term trading ?
- What king of personality am I ? Do I need lots of action, Do I need to make decisions all the time ?
- What kind of books have I read and which top traders do I most admire and why ?
- Plan a trade and trade a plan. Here are some helpfull questions that you should ask:
- Where will I place my initial stop ?
- How will I take my profits ? ( Will I trail stop ? If yes then By how much will I trail my stop ?)
- Will I add more shares as the trade goes my way ?
- If the share does not show any profit after x periods will I get out ? And how ?
- If stopped out of this trade will I be willing to get back in ?
- Work hard at learning how to trade properly. Would you expect to become a brain surgeon after attending a weekend seminar ?
- Positive Self-Belief: You'll never be able to follow a system if you have a doubt in your mind. But how can one gain the confidence in the system ? Well, the answer is : only by doing the groundwork described in the previous step ( Work hard !)
- View trading as a source in points not in money. Stop counting dollars every time the market makes a move and focus on following your time tested rules.
- Keep trading as part of a balanced life. Work hard, play hard. Successful trading is :
- boring
- effortless
- easy
- stress free
August 12, 2008
Think before trade !
You just have to watch this ! John F. Carter was involved in the production of this Carrie Underwood parody.
I like it Doji style !
August 9, 2008
Division by zero in MetaStock
Today I tried to create a custom indicator in Metastock. I thought it will be fun & easy since I have a good programming background (Java, C/C++, Delphi, etc.) . I was terrribly wrong !
Well, everything was cool, the small formula editor didn't bother me too much, until I came to the IF function. The synthax for IF according to the Metastock Help is:
if( condition, value when true, value when false) ;
I was a little disappointed about this approach but I was ready to get over it and continue my work. The big problem occured when I tried to display the value of a division and of course I had to take the necessary precautions in order not to divide by zero:
if ( denominator <> 0 , numerator/denominator, 0) ;
Guess what ? .... although my denominator was checked, I was still getting a nice "Division by zero " error and not once but more than 100 times. Moreover, the indicator seemed to be properly displayed which made the finding of the error even more painful.
After a while I realized that the parameters of any function have to be evaluated before being delivered to the function. So, in a statement like :
if( condition, expression_1, expression_2)
both expression_1 and expression_2 will be evaluated no matter what the condition says.
You have to admit : This is really crap !
Did anybody hear about WealthLab?