April 16, 2007

trading system - Open Interest

  1. Prices up and OI down => short sellers are covering their positions Money is therefore leaving the marketplace and is considered bearish.
  2. price up
  3. price flat and OI up => trend reversal
  4. price flat
  5. Price down and OI up => new money is coming into the market, showing aggressive new short selling. This scenario will prove out a continuation of a downtrend and a bearish condition
  6. Prices down and OI down => the price decline is being caused by disgruntled long position holders being forced to liquidate their positions

Price
Volume
Open Interest
Interpretation
Rising
Rising
Rising
Market is Strong
Rising
Falling
Falling
Market is Weakening
Falling
Rising
Rising
Market is Weak
Falling
Falling
Falling
Market is Strengthening

PERSONAL ADD: the divergence between VOLUME and OI it's a factor that you have to take into account see the picture here